MODELS OF WAR AND OTHER GROUP CONFLICT


MAP 5932-01, Section 01, Summer Session C 2013

(Class #02427)

Modelling the evolution and prevention of war has become an important topic, as evidenced by two recent NIMBioS investigative workshops on evolution and warfare and on evolutionary approaches to peace science. In keeping with this trend, the goal of this course is to introduce a suite of largely idealized mathematical models of war and other group or multi-party conflict among humans and other social animals, and to evaluate them critically, with a view to their further development and application to peace science
Course page: ON CAMPUS: http://www.math.fsu.edu/~mesterto/MOW.html (this page)
OFF CAMPUS: http://www.math.fsu.edu.proxy.lib.fsu.edu/~mesterto/MOW.html (with your FSUID username and password)
Professor: Mike Mesterton-Gibbons
Office: 202B Love
Office hours: Please check here
Phone: (850 64) 42580
Main website: Professor M-G's Home Page    Email:
Class meets: in 106 LOV, Monday to Friday 12:30-13:50
Texts:There is no required text. However, PDFs of relevant papers will be posted here next to my lectures, and the following books (listed in alphabetical order by first author's last name, as opposed to order of importance) may serve as references for parts of the course and are available from my office:
Hardy & Briffa,  Animal Contests (Cambridge University Press, 2013, ISBN 9780521887106)
Konrad,  Strategy and Dynamics in Contests (Oxford University Press, 2009, ISBN 9780199549603)
Mesterton-Gibbons,  A Concrete Approach to Mathematical Modelling (Wiley, 2007, ISBN 9780470171073)
Mitchell & Vasquez,  Conflict, War, and Peace (CQ Press, 2014, ISBN 9781452244495)
(and perhaps others to be added later)
  Models of war and other group conflict are dispersed across a variety of journals. Those yielding suitable material for a presentation include the following:
American Political Science Review
Cliodynamics
Conflict Management and Peace Science
Games and Economic Behavior
International Interactions
International Security
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Journal of Peace Research
(and perhaps others to be added later)
Credit: 3 semester hours
Syllabus: We shall introduce and critique as many different models as we have time for, but details of the topics to be covered will be an emergent property of the course (as opposed to being known in advance). Ultimately, the syllabus will correspond to the titles of the lectures posted here
Prerequisites: Graduate-student status within the Department of Mathematics, or my consent
Course format: Lectures and discussion
Grades: Will be based on class participation, including a presentation during Week 6 on a topic to be decided

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RECOMMENDED LANGUAGE FOR SYLLABI:

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Syllabus Change Policy

"Except for changes that substantially affect implementation of the evaluation (grading) statement, this syllabus is a guide for the course and is subject to change with advance notice.''


Lectures

Next to each lecture is a link to PDFs of works cited therein
  1. Introduction and Overview
  2. Lanchestrian Models of Human Combat
  3. Fights Among Ants and Other Social Animals
  4. Epstein's Adaptive Model of War
  5. Richardsonian Models of War Psychology
   PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
      
  1. War Duration: Insights from a Deterministic Model
  2. Stochastic Models of War Onset and Duration
  3. Optimal Defense Positioning
  4. War and Power: A Choice-Theoretic Model
  5. An Overview of Basic Concepts in Game Theory
   PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
      
  1. Contest Models of War. The Paradox of Power
  2. War Over an Internal Prize. Conditions for Peace
  3. Partial Information and the Puzzle of War
  4. An Approach to Modelling Aspects of Civil War
    References
   PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
PDFs
 
             

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